Los Angeles Rams: 2019 season bets to take to the bank
By Jason Reed
The Los Angeles Rams are the defending NFC Champions and could win you some money if you play your cards right in Las Vegas.
The Los Angeles Rams were one of the most exciting teams in the National Football League last year, second only to the Kansas City Chiefs, who had Patrick Mahomes put together a historic rookie season performance.
If you are a sports bettor that bet on the Rams, then you probably had a lot of fun last year as well, well, if you bet on them to win the division or the NFC. Against the spread, the Rams actually weren’t too great, as they went 9-9-1 last season.
Today we are focusing on the Los Angeles Rams preseason bets that could potentially win a lot of money. Of course, we always stress that you are cautious when gambling and none of these lines are truly guaranteed wins. Gamble at your own risk.
Here are the Los Angeles Rams preseason bets that we are circling.
Rams OVER 10.5 wins
Westgate has the Rams win total at 10.5 wins for the 2019 season a year after the team represented the NFC in the Super Bowl and won 13 games in the regular season. It might seem low but rarely do we ever see a line creep into the 12.5 range.
Could the Los Angeles Rams go 10-6 this season? Absolutely, anything is possible and all it takes is a few injuries or miscues for that to be the case. But more likely than not, the Rams will at least go 11-5.
The NFC West is fairly weak, especially with the doubts around Jimmy Garappolo in San Francisco. Going 4-2 in the division is the absolute floor for the Rams with the potential to go 6-0. There are three non-division games that should be locks: the Carolina Panthers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Cincinnati Bengals.
Even if they go 4-2 in the division that leads the team to a 7-2 record in those nine, at the very worst. That means they would just have to go 4-3 against the New Orleans Saints, Cleveland Browns, Atlanta Falcons, Pittsburgh Steelers, Chicago Bears (in LA), Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys.
That definitely is not the easiest slate but if the Rams are one of the two best teams in NFC, which they should be, then they absolutely should win four of those seven.
Jared Goff OVER 27.5 passing touchdowns and OVER 4,250 passing yards
These odds are courtesy of Bovada, who have Jared Goff’s passing touchdown total at 27.5 prior to the season. Throwing 28 touchdowns might seem like a lot, but when you break it down, it really isn’t for the fourth-year quarterback.
First and foremost, Goff has thrown 28 or more touchdowns in each of the last two years. Two years ago it was 28 (without playing the last game) and last year he was even better at 32. Thirty touchdowns feels more realistic than 28 for Goff.
Think about it: if Goff averages two touchdowns per game he is going to throw 32 on the season. With how much the Rams offense scores and how they are going to rely less on Todd Gurley this year to keep him healthy, Goff should easily be finding the endzone twice per game.
And even if he only finds it once in a certain game, he is definitely going to have games where he finds it three times or more.
The 4,250 passing yards go hand-in-hand with the touchdowns. Goff recorded 4,688 passing yards last season, and while I do predict a slight regression, if he is healthy all year then 4,300 passing yards should be a lock. He would get there by throwing for 270 yards on average every game.
Brandin Cooks UNDER 1,105 receiving yards
Again, courtesy of Bovada, we see Brandin Cooks falling under his receiving yards total for the 2019 season. It might seem like a knock on Cooks, but it really isn’t, as he can still have a great year.
If anything, Cooks has given us reason to bet the over. He has been nothing but consistent the past four years with over 1,000 receiving yards in each season. In the last three, Cooks is averaging 1,153 receiving yards.
The only year he fell short of this over/under in the last three years was 2017, where he did not play the last game and finished 23 yards shy.
While all that should be leading us to pick the over, there is an important name to remember: Cooper Kupp. Kupp is back and healthy and is going to take some of the plays that otherwise would have gone to Cooks.
Again, we are going against the grain here as Cooks actually had better numbers when Kupp was on the field. However, with both Robert Woods and Kupp hopefully healthy for the entire season, Cooks will fall narrowly shy of that 1,105 number.
I still predict the Los Angeles Rams receiver to get 1,000 yards but still fall just short of that 1,105 number.